Gay Marriage Issue Fails to Excite American Voters
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Evangelical Christian supporters of President Bush hoped their drive to ban same sex marriages would become a defining issue in this year's presidential campaign but so far this has not happened.
Political analysts and advocates on either side of the issue, interviewed as the Senate rejected a White House-backed bid to amend the U.S. Constitution to outlaw same-sex marriage, agreed that so far the issue had failed to catch fire in the country at large. The Senate vote on Wednesday likely killed the proposal for this election year.
"It has not caught on. By forcing the Senate vote, supporters of the gay marriage ban may hope to generate enough publicity to make it more of a galvanizing issue," said John Green, a political scientist at the University of Akron who studies the evangelical Christian community.
Polls suggest that a majority of Americans oppose homosexual marriage, although the numbers can vary wildly depending on how the issue is framed. When voters are asked whether they support amending the Constitution, opinion is more evenly divided.
Even many conservative opponents of same sex marriage would prefer to handle the issue at state level. Voters in a dozen states will be able to vote in ballot initiatives in November that propose amending state constitutions to define marriage as a union of one man and one woman and most if not all are expected to pass.
Pollster Andrew Kohut of the Pew Research Center said same sex marriage was not and would not become a top issue in the presidential battle. In one survey he conducted earlier this year, voters ranked it as 24th most important of 25 issues, ahead only of sending a space ship to explore Mars.
"That doesn't mean people don't think it's important but it doesn't have the salience and resonance of the big issues like the economy, Iraq and terrorism," he said.
In one CBS poll in May, only 29 percent said the issue should play a part in the presidential election while 70 percent were opposed.
That kind of data gives Democrats an opening to argue that the Senate should not be spending three days on this issue when so many other pressing matters remain on the agenda.
WASTE OF TIME
"This is a waste of time," said California Sen. Dianne Feinstein, the first Democratic opponent to speak in Senate debate on the issue on Monday.
Stuart Rothenberg who edits a widely read political newsletter, said evangelical conservatives initially thought the issue would have wide appeal.
"It does energize the base but beyond that, most people are conflicted. They don't like gay marriage but they also don't want to appear intolerant. They would rather not have a huge battle and divide the country over this," he said.
The Senate vote was likely only an opening shot in a battle that was likely to extend for years or decades in the same way that the country is still arguing and battling about abortion more than 30 years after the Supreme Court declared it legal.
Gary Bauer of the conservative Family Research Council agreed that many Americans preferred not to talk about same sex marriage but maintained that fervor was building and that the issue would ultimately help Bush and Republicans and hurt Democrats and their presidential nominee John Kerry.
"The pro-gay rights side is sitting on a political powder keg here," he said. "Americans don't like it. The country does not want gay marriage. The evidence is overwhelming."
The danger for Republicans is that they overplay their hand and appear mean-spirited which could turn off moderates and undecided voters.
"The right has miscalculated. They felt there would be a high level of moral indignation in the nation but it just hasn't happened," said Ron Schlittler, director of Parents, Families and Friends of Lesbians and Gays, an organization that claims 250,000 members in over 500 chapters.
"Yes, it will galvanize the Republican base but too many people know gay and lesbian couples who don't fit the awful stereotype," he said.
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